Primary Reading

  • Scenario Planning for an A(G)I Future

    Korinek, IMF Finance & Development Magazine, Dec. 2023

    imf.org | PDF

  • AI Could Actually Help Rebuild The Middle Class

    David Autor, Noema, February 2024

    noemamag.com

  • Artificial General Intelligence Is Already Here

    Blaise Agüera y Arcas, and Peter Norvig, Noema, October 2023

    noemamag.com

  • The Turing Trap: The Promise & Peril of Human-like Artificial Intelligence

    Erik Brynjolfsson

    digitalecnomy.stanford.edu

  • The Turing Transformation: Artificial Intelligence, Intelligence Augmentation, and Skill Premiums

    Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans and Avi Goldfarb

    brookings.edu

  • The AI Dilemma: Growth vs. Existential Risk

    Jones (2023)

  • Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren

    John Maynard Keynes

    PDF

  • Simulating the Global Effect of Transformative AI: Growth, Welfare, Economic Power, and Policy Responses

    Seth Gordon Benzell, Victor Yifan Ye. March 2024

    PDF

  • Economic Policy Challenges for the Age of AI

    Anton Korinek

    NBER

  • Situational Awareness

    Leopold Aschenbrenner

    PDF

  • Transformative AI, existential risk, and asset pricing

    Trevor Chow, Basil Halperin, and J. Zachary Mazlish

    PDF

Supplementary Reading

  • Artificial Intelligence, Innovation, and Economic Growth

    Agrawal, McHale, and Oettl, February 2024

    PDF

  • How Learning About Harms Impacts the Optimal Rate of Artificial Intelligence Adoption

    Joshua S. Gans

    PDF

  • Regulating Transformative Technologies

    Acemoglu and Lensman (2023)

    PDF

  • Three Risks to the Future of Competition in AI

    Avi Goldfarb

    PDF

  • Existential Risk and Growth

    Aschenbrenner and Trammell (2024)

    PDF

  • Inefficient Automation

    Beraja and Zorzi (2022)

    PDF

  • AGI and the EMH: Markets are not Expecting Aligned or Unaligned AI in the Next 30 Years

    Chow, Halperin, and Mazlish (2023)

    Read

  • GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models

    Eloudou et al. (2023)

    Read

  • The AI Dilemma: Growth vs. Existential Risk

    Jones (2023)

  • Natural Selection Favors AIs over Humans

    Hendrycks (2023)

    PDF

  • Optimal Gradualism

    Lehr and Restrepo (2023)

    PDF

  • Scenario Planning for an A(G)I Future

    Korinek, IMF Finance & Development Magazine, Dec. 2023

    imf.org | PDF

  • Preparing for the (Non-Existent?) Future of Work

    Korinek and Juelfs, Oxford Handbook of AI Governance, 2024

    PDF

  • Economic Growth under Transformative AI

    Trammell and Korinek, Oct. 2023

    PDF

  • Aligned with Whom? Direct and Social Goals for AI Systems

    Korinek and Balwit, Oxford Handbook of AI Governance, 2024

    PDF